Election Forecasting Models 2024. Developed with the assistance of a team of political scientists led by andrew gelman of columbia university, our model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning. Alaska, nevada, colorado, idaho, and oregon.
In the 2024 presidential election, quantus insights distinguished itself with a highly accurate forecast,. As a result of census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024.